Navigating Spatial Confounding: Understanding causes and proposing mitigating approaches

Isa Marques

The Ohio State University, USA

Ciências Ulisboa, C6, Floor 4, SASLab (Room 6.4.29) & Zoom

28 May 2025 (Wednesday)  –  14h30

Abstract:

Spatial confounding is a fundamental issue in spatial regression models which arises because spatial random effects, included to approximate unmeasured spatial variation, are typically not independent of covariates in the model. This can lead to significant bias in covariate effect estimates. We develop a broad theoretical framework that brings mathematical clarity to the mechanisms of spatial confounding. Subsequently, we explore the potential of Bayesian methodology in alleviating spatial confounding and leveraging the understanding of how such confounding originates in the construction of prior distributions..

Short bio:

Isa Marques is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Statistics of The Ohio State University. Before joining the Department of Statistics in 2024, Isa was a statistics and data analytics lecturer at the University of Glasgow. Before that, she was a postdoctoral researcher in the Department of Statistics and Spatial Data Science at the University of Göttingen in Germany.

Isa holds a degree in Applied Statistics from the University of Göttingen, Germany, and her research focuses on spatial confounding, non-stationarity, and computational statistics. She works with environmental applications, such as forestry.

A joint CEAUL / CEMAT

Poster.